WC Qual. CONCACAF 3ra Ronda Caribe Final
Global 2-2
Cuba vs Barbados analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.6%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
6.2%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cuba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
SUR
0 - 0
CUB
18%
24%
58%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
CUB
1 - 0
SUR
80%
14%
6%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
CYM
0 - 0
CUB
17%
23%
60%
|
73 | 48 | 25 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2000 |
CUB
4 - 0
NIG
73%
17%
10%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
CUB
4 - 0
CYM
80%
14%
6%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Barbados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
BRB
4 - 0
ABW
70%
17%
13%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2000 |
ABW
1 - 3
BRB
47%
23%
30%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2000 |
GRD
2 - 3
BRB
57%
21%
22%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
BRB
2 - 2
GRD
61%
20%
19%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2000 |
BRB
2 - 2
ATG
65%
19%
17%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |