CD Cuarte vs Fuentes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
12.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
3º
13º
3º
20
3º
17º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 65 |
1º
|
46.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 65 |
2º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
36 | 58 |
3º
|
26% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 55 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 54 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 53 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 52 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 49 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 46 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 43 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 42 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 42 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 42 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 41 |
14º
|
9% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 36 |
15º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
20 | 35 |
16º
|
14.5% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 33 |
17º
|
22% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 32 |
18º
|
35% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
6% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
75% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
19% | 43% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 56.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Cuarte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CDU
0 - 0
CUA
27%
25%
48%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
CUA
0 - 0
LAR
46%
27%
27%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
LAR
1 - 1
CUA
36%
28%
36%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
CUA
1 - 1
CDE
32%
27%
41%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
CDE
1 - 1
CUA
48%
27%
25%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Fuentes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
FUE
1 - 0
BEL
35%
25%
41%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
FUE
0 - 2
CUA
22%
24%
54%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
BIN
1 - 0
FUE
43%
24%
33%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
FUE
2 - 0
SDB
64%
20%
16%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CAL
3 - 0
FUE
52%
24%
24%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |