CD Cuarte vs Fuentes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
12.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
2
4º
13º
5º
4
3º
17º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
4 | 65 |
1º
|
24.5% | |
|
2º
|
6 | 61 |
2º
|
13% | |
|
1º
|
6 | 59 |
3º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 58 |
4º
|
9% | |
|
|
11º
|
2 | 55 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 54 |
6º
|
7.5% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 50 |
7º
|
8% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 49 |
8º
|
6% | |
|
10º
|
2 | 45 |
9º
|
5% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 44 |
10º
|
8% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 44 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 44 |
12º
|
6% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 39 |
13º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 38 |
14º
|
8.5% | |
|
3º
|
4 | 38 |
15º
|
7.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
4 | 38 |
16º
|
9.5% | |
|
6º
|
3 | 37 |
17º
|
9% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 28 |
18º
|
28.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
6.5% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
41% | 5% |
|
Mid-table
|
49.5% | 64.5% |
|
Relegation
|
3% | 30% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Cuarte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CDU
0 - 0
CUA
27%
25%
48%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
CUA
0 - 0
LAR
46%
27%
27%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
LAR
1 - 1
CUA
36%
28%
36%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
CUA
1 - 1
CDE
32%
27%
41%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
CDE
1 - 1
CUA
48%
27%
25%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Fuentes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
FUE
1 - 0
BEL
35%
25%
41%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
FUE
0 - 2
CUA
22%
24%
54%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
BIN
1 - 0
FUE
43%
24%
33%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
FUE
2 - 0
SDB
64%
20%
16%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CAL
3 - 0
FUE
52%
24%
24%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |