CD Cuarte vs CF Epila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
3º
13º
4º
4
4º
15º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
7 | 63 |
1º
|
19.5% | |
|
1º
|
12 | 63 |
2º
|
14% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 58 |
3º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
6 | 56 |
4º
|
9% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 54 |
5º
|
7.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 54 |
6º
|
8.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 49 |
7º
|
5.5% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 48 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
|
14º
|
4 | 47 |
9º
|
7.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 46 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 45 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 44 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 41 |
13º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 38 |
14º
|
8% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 37 |
15º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 35 |
16º
|
7.5% | |
|
17º
|
2 | 33 |
17º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 32 |
18º
|
16% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
9.5% | 2% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
46.5% | 22% |
|
Mid-table
|
41% | 68.5% |
|
Relegation
|
3% | 7.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Cuarte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
TAM
0 - 1
CUA
41%
24%
35%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CUA
0 - 0
FUE
68%
19%
13%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CDU
0 - 0
CUA
27%
25%
48%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
CUA
0 - 0
LAR
46%
27%
27%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
LAR
1 - 1
CUA
36%
28%
36%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CF Epila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
EPI
0 - 2
BEL
62%
21%
16%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
EPI
0 - 1
LAA
58%
22%
20%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
TAM
0 - 1
EPI
49%
23%
29%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
EPI
0 - 1
EJE
23%
25%
52%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
CDE
2 - 0
EPI
53%
26%
22%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |