Liniers vs Excursionistas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
21.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+75%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liniers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2013 |
CAM
1 - 0
LIN
50%
26%
24%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
LAM
4 - 2
LIN
37%
28%
35%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -2 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
LIN
1 - 1
CCO
62%
22%
16%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
BER
2 - 3
LIN
43%
27%
30%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
LIN
0 - 1
ESP
39%
26%
36%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
EXC
1 - 0
CCO
53%
25%
22%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2013 |
TAL
0 - 1
EXC
61%
23%
16%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
BER
0 - 0
EXC
50%
27%
24%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2013 |
EXC
0 - 0
ESP
27%
26%
47%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
ARM
1 - 1
EXC
57%
25%
18%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |