CSP vs Santa Cruz PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
7.1%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
CSP
2 - 0
AUT
57%
22%
20%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
CSP
3 - 1
ATL
59%
22%
19%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
QUE
2 - 2
CSP
18%
21%
61%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
CSP
0 - 0
SOU
50%
24%
27%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2014 |
CSP
2 - 1
SAN
78%
15%
7%
|
47 | 19 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
6 - 0
SPO
77%
15%
8%
|
20 | 5 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
QUE
26%
23%
52%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
AUT
3 - 1
SAN
75%
16%
9%
|
19 | 42 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
CAM
15%
22%
63%
|
18 | 54 | 36 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2014 |
CSP
2 - 1
SAN
78%
15%
7%
|
19 | 47 | 28 | -1 |