CSM Bacău vs Soimii Gura Humorului analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
11.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+370%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
2º
10º
4º
10
8º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 41 |
1º
|
65% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 39 |
2º
|
62.5% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 34 |
3º
|
71.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
27 | 31 |
4º
|
70% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 26 |
5º
|
66% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 25 |
6º
|
71% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 18 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 14 |
8º
|
32.5% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 12 |
9º
|
29% | |
|
|
9º
|
10 | 11 |
10º
|
62% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
91.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
8.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSM Bacău
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
BUC
2 - 0
CSM
38%
26%
36%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
CSM
1 - 1
TII
33%
25%
42%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
CSM
3 - 1
CEA
57%
22%
21%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
ACS
3 - 0
CSM
51%
22%
27%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
CSM
2 - 0
ACS
47%
25%
28%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Soimii Gura Humorului
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
SGH
0 - 0
RAP
21%
20%
59%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
SGH
0 - 0
BUC
14%
18%
68%
|
11 | 34 | 23 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
SGH
0 - 3
TII
13%
17%
69%
|
11 | 37 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
CEA
2 - 0
SGH
80%
13%
8%
|
12 | 23 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
SGH
1 - 1
ACS
13%
18%
70%
|
9 | 37 | 28 | +3 |