Qualif. Champions Final
Global 4-0
CSKA Sofia vs KF Tirana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
18.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2005 |
LSO
1 - 1
CSK
52%
22%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2005 |
TIR
0 - 2
CSK
55%
22%
22%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
LPL
4 - 3
CSK
56%
22%
22%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2005 |
LSO
2 - 1
CSK
53%
22%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
CSK
2 - 1
OFK
73%
17%
10%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
KF Tirana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2005 |
TIR
0 - 2
CSK
55%
22%
22%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2005 |
TIR
3 - 0
GOR
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2005 |
GOR
2 - 0
TIR
45%
26%
30%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
DIN
0 - 1
TIR
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
TIR
0 - 1
ELB
71%
18%
11%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |