Champions League Last 16
Global 2-2
CSKA Sofia vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
24.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1982 |
CSK
1 - 0
BVR
76%
15%
9%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1982 |
SLI
1 - 1
CSK
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1982 |
CSK
3 - 0
ROZ
86%
10%
4%
|
78 | 46 | 32 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1982 |
CSK
2 - 0
MON
54%
24%
23%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1982 |
BOT
1 - 1
CSK
58%
22%
20%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1982 |
POR
0 - 1
SCP
29%
28%
43%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1982 |
SPB
2 - 1
SCP
42%
25%
33%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1982 |
SCP
3 - 0
DZG
75%
16%
9%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1982 |
SCP
4 - 1
GDA
86%
10%
3%
|
85 | 53 | 32 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1982 |
DZG
1 - 0
SCP
45%
25%
30%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |