CSKA Sofia vs Spartak Varna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
24.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
7º
14º
7º
32
3º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 76 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 60 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 58 |
3º
|
33% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 58 |
4º
|
34% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 50 |
5º
|
46.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 46 |
6º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
26 | 44 |
7º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 42 |
8º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 39 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 38 |
10º
|
26.5% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 32 |
11º
|
35% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 31 |
12º
|
31.5% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 28 |
13º
|
33% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 23 |
14º
|
39% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 22 |
15º
|
37% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 17 |
16º
|
76% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
2% | 2% |
|
Next round
|
75.5% | 88% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
22.5% | 10% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
HEB
0 - 1
CSK
22%
26%
52%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
CSK
2 - 2
LUD
29%
27%
44%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
CSK
2 - 2
FLK
57%
25%
18%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2024 |
CSK
1 - 3
CSK
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
LPL
2 - 2
CSK
39%
28%
33%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Spartak Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2024 |
SVA
1 - 1
CSK
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
SVA
4 - 0
HEB
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
SVA
1 - 3
LUD
28%
27%
45%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
FLK
0 - 1
SVA
43%
25%
32%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
SAY
0 - 4
SVA
6%
12%
83%
|
67 | 41 | 26 | 0 |