CSKA Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
15.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
70
1º
3º
2º
22
10º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
70 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
STP
0 - 2
CSK
36%
27%
38%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
CSK
0 - 1
STP
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
CSK
5 - 1
BER
54%
25%
22%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
CSK
4 - 0
MAK
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2022 |
CSK
1 - 0
CVA
47%
27%
26%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Septemvri Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2022 |
SEP
0 - 3
LSO
52%
24%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2022 |
ARK
3 - 2
SEP
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2022 |
SEP
1 - 1
BVR
51%
23%
26%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2022 |
HEB
1 - 3
SEP
32%
26%
42%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2022 |
SEP
0 - 3
LUD
27%
25%
48%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |