CSKA Sofia vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.1%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
71.7%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
CSK
1 - 0
LOV
50%
24%
26%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
CSK
0 - 0
CHB
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2009 |
FUL
1 - 0
CSK
66%
21%
13%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
CVA
0 - 0
CSK
45%
28%
27%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2009 |
SVI
0 - 1
CSK
12%
20%
68%
|
76 | 41 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
SAM
0 - 0
ROM
29%
24%
47%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
ROM
1 - 0
LAZ
69%
18%
13%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2009 |
ROM
2 - 1
BAS
62%
20%
18%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
ATL
1 - 2
ROM
22%
23%
55%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
ROM
3 - 1
BAR
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |