Champions League Last 16
Global 0-2
CSKA Sofia vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1983 |
CSK
6 - 1
SLI
70%
18%
13%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1983 |
CVA
0 - 3
CSK
41%
28%
31%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1983 |
OMO
4 - 1
CSK
32%
24%
44%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1983 |
CSK
2 - 0
SSO
75%
16%
10%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1983 |
BER
1 - 1
CSK
45%
27%
29%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1983 |
ROM
1 - 0
GEN
81%
14%
6%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1983 |
TOR
2 - 1
ROM
39%
28%
33%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1983 |
GÖT
2 - 1
ROM
48%
26%
26%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1983 |
ROM
3 - 1
ACM
68%
18%
14%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1983 |
SAM
1 - 2
ROM
27%
29%
43%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |