Cup Winners Cup Quarter-finals
Global 3-3
CSKA Sofia vs Roda JC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.9%
12%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1989 |
BVR
0 - 2
CSK
30%
29%
41%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1988 |
SVA
0 - 2
CSK
31%
28%
41%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1988 |
CSK
4 - 1
SSO
79%
13%
8%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1988 |
CSK
4 - 2
LSO
78%
14%
9%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1988 |
LOK
0 - 3
CSK
30%
27%
43%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Roda JC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1989 |
BVV
4 - 4
RJC
33%
27%
40%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1989 |
RJC
2 - 0
WIL
62%
21%
18%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1989 |
BOS
0 - 1
RJC
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 1989 |
RJC
2 - 1
VVV
59%
24%
18%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1989 |
VOL
1 - 0
RJC
52%
23%
25%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |