Cup Winners Cup Last 16
Global 3-0
CSKA Sofia vs Panathinaikos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
17.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1988 |
OFK
1 - 1
CSK
33%
28%
39%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1988 |
CSK
7 - 1
SLI
82%
12%
6%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1988 |
CSK
5 - 0
BRA
88%
8%
4%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1988 |
BER
2 - 3
CSK
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1988 |
CSK
6 - 2
CVA
81%
12%
7%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Panathinaikos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1988 |
IRA
2 - 2
PAN
51%
23%
26%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1988 |
PAN
2 - 2
APS
73%
18%
10%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1988 |
PAN
2 - 0
OMO
83%
11%
6%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1988 |
LAR
2 - 1
PAN
40%
25%
35%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1988 |
PAN
0 - 1
AEK
55%
22%
23%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |