CSKA Sofia vs Omonia Nicosia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
29.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
CSK
5 - 0
NES
84%
12%
5%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
SSO
1 - 4
CSK
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2004 |
OMO
1 - 1
CSK
68%
18%
14%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2004 |
ROD
0 - 1
CSK
26%
26%
48%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
CSK
1 - 1
LPL
55%
22%
23%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Omonia Nicosia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2004 |
OMO
1 - 1
CSK
68%
18%
14%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2004 |
JUG
1 - 4
OMO
26%
24%
50%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2004 |
OMO
4 - 0
JUG
78%
14%
8%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
PAP
2 - 2
OMO
26%
23%
51%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
APO
1 - 2
OMO
45%
24%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |