Q. Europa League 2da Ronda Final
Global 1-1
CSKA Sofia vs Mura 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
16%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
CSK
5 - 0
BVR
77%
15%
8%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2012 |
MUR
0 - 0
CSK
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
LUD
1 - 0
CSK
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
CSK
4 - 1
LOV
48%
26%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
2 - 0
CSK
34%
27%
39%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Mura 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
GOR
3 - 1
MUR
56%
23%
22%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2012 |
MUR
0 - 0
CSK
38%
26%
36%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
MUR
1 - 1
RUD
45%
26%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2012 |
MUR
2 - 0
FKB
48%
25%
27%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
FKB
0 - 0
MUR
47%
24%
29%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |