Europa League 1/32
Global 4-3
CSKA Sofia vs Monaco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
24.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1984 |
MON
2 - 2
CSK
71%
19%
10%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1984 |
BER
0 - 3
CSK
50%
26%
24%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1984 |
CSK
2 - 2
SLI
70%
18%
13%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1984 |
ETA
3 - 1
CSK
51%
26%
23%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1984 |
CSK
0 - 1
LSO
63%
21%
17%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1984 |
MON
0 - 0
STL
71%
19%
11%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1984 |
STR
3 - 3
MON
34%
29%
37%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1984 |
MON
3 - 0
RAC
69%
17%
14%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1984 |
MON
2 - 2
CSK
71%
19%
10%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1984 |
FCR
2 - 1
MON
29%
29%
41%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |