CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
43.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
7º
14º
7º
53
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
53 | 76 |
1º
|
99% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 61 |
2º
|
60.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 57 |
3º
|
35.5% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 56 |
4º
|
37.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 52 |
5º
|
47% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 46 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
26 | 43 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 42 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 40 |
9º
|
24% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 35 |
10º
|
27.5% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 32 |
11º
|
27% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 31 |
12º
|
22.5% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 29 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 28 |
14º
|
32% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 22 |
15º
|
51.5% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 18 |
16º
|
74.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
1% | 100% |
|
Next round
|
71% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
28% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
CSK
2 - 2
FLK
57%
25%
18%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2024 |
CSK
1 - 3
CSK
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
LPL
2 - 2
CSK
39%
28%
33%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
DOB
0 - 4
CSK
23%
24%
53%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2024 |
CSK
2 - 0
BVR
59%
24%
18%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
SVA
1 - 3
LUD
28%
27%
45%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2024 |
LUD
1 - 2
ATH
22%
24%
54%
|
78 | 93 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
LUD
3 - 0
HEB
85%
11%
4%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2024 |
LUD
6 - 0
CHE
86%
10%
5%
|
78 | 42 | 36 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2024 |
LUD
3 - 0
CSK
67%
20%
14%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |