CSKA Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
23.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
CHB
1 - 1
CSK
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
LOV
1 - 0
CSK
50%
26%
24%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
SLI
0 - 1
CSK
15%
22%
64%
|
77 | 46 | 31 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
CSK
0 - 2
ATR
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
CSK
1 - 1
MUR
65%
20%
16%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
LPL
1 - 1
LOV
45%
25%
30%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
LSO
1 - 1
LPL
40%
26%
33%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
VIT
3 - 1
LPL
47%
25%
29%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2012 |
LPL
4 - 4
VIT
55%
22%
23%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2012 |
LUD
3 - 1
LPL
51%
22%
27%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |