Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
CSKA Sofia vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
16.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1967 |
LSO
1 - 1
CSK
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1967 |
CSK
2 - 2
BVR
72%
15%
13%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1967 |
LIN
2 - 2
CSK
56%
22%
22%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1967 |
CSK
5 - 1
DOB
71%
18%
11%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1966 |
CSK
1 - 1
BER
65%
18%
17%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1967 |
LIN
2 - 2
CSK
56%
22%
22%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1966 |
LIN
1 - 1
VIF
57%
20%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1966 |
VIF
1 - 4
LIN
65%
17%
18%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1966 |
LIN
6 - 1
ABO
80%
12%
8%
|
72 | 18 | 54 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1966 |
ABO
3 - 3
LIN
29%
21%
50%
|
72 | 17 | 55 | 0 |