Champions League 1/16
Global 6-2
CSKA Sofia vs Ruch Chorzów analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
14%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
10.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1989 |
LSO
0 - 2
CSK
42%
27%
32%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1989 |
RCH
1 - 1
CSK
42%
25%
32%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1989 |
CSK
6 - 1
BOT
69%
18%
14%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1989 |
ETA
1 - 1
CSK
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1989 |
CSK
4 - 0
BER
79%
13%
8%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ruch Chorzów
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1989 |
ZAW
0 - 2
RCH
44%
28%
28%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1989 |
RCH
0 - 0
ZAG
61%
23%
16%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1989 |
RCH
1 - 1
CSK
42%
25%
32%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1989 |
OLI
2 - 0
RCH
41%
29%
30%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 1989 |
RCH
2 - 0
ZAL
58%
25%
17%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |