Champions League Last 16
Global 4-3
CSKA Sofia vs Górnik Zabrze analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
20%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1966 |
CSK
3 - 0
DUN
67%
19%
14%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1966 |
SPS
1 - 1
CSK
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1966 |
CSK
1 - 1
SSO
57%
22%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1966 |
MAR
0 - 1
CSK
38%
29%
33%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1966 |
OLP
1 - 0
CSK
61%
21%
19%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Górnik Zabrze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1966 |
GÓR
3 - 1
VOW
35%
23%
42%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1966 |
VOW
2 - 1
GÓR
70%
17%
13%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1966 |
GÓR
2 - 1
VOW
35%
23%
42%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1965 |
GÓR
1 - 2
SPA
49%
22%
28%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 1965 |
SPA
3 - 0
GÓR
65%
18%
17%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |