Champions League 1/16
Global 2-3
CSKA Sofia vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
37.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1975 |
LSO
0 - 2
CSK
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1975 |
CSK
1 - 0
OFK
74%
16%
10%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1975 |
SPA
0 - 1
CSK
47%
27%
26%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 1975 |
CSK
2 - 3
BVR
68%
18%
14%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 1975 |
CSK
1 - 1
SSO
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1975 |
JUV
5 - 1
TER
84%
12%
4%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1975 |
INT
1 - 0
JUV
37%
27%
36%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1975 |
JUV
2 - 0
TAR
90%
8%
3%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1975 |
JUV
2 - 1
ACM
63%
21%
16%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1975 |
INT
2 - 6
JUV
39%
27%
34%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |