Champions League 1/16
Global 4-3
CSKA Sofia vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
59%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1960 |
JUV
2 - 0
CSK
89%
7%
4%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1960 |
CSK
1 - 1
LSO
67%
18%
15%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1960 |
FKM
1 - 0
CSK
46%
24%
30%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 1960 |
SPA
0 - 3
CSK
41%
24%
35%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1960 |
CSK
3 - 2
LSO
58%
22%
20%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1960 |
SPA
1 - 2
JUV
16%
20%
64%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1960 |
JUV
3 - 1
LAZ
88%
8%
4%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1960 |
UDI
0 - 1
JUV
18%
20%
62%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1960 |
JUV
2 - 0
CSK
89%
7%
4%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1960 |
JUV
3 - 2
FIO
72%
16%
13%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |