Champions League 1/16
Global 3-5
CSKA Sofia vs Ferencvárosi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
30%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1969 |
CSK
1 - 0
BER
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1969 |
MAR
2 - 4
CSK
34%
30%
36%
|
78 | 54 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1969 |
CSK
2 - 1
MAR
70%
19%
12%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1969 |
SSO
0 - 1
CSK
50%
25%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1969 |
CSK
1 - 1
BVR
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ferencvárosi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1968 |
FTC
0 - 0
LEE
46%
25%
30%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1968 |
LEE
1 - 0
FTC
65%
19%
16%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1968 |
BOL
2 - 2
FTC
59%
21%
20%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1968 |
FTC
3 - 2
BOL
54%
23%
23%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1968 |
ATH
1 - 2
FTC
61%
20%
19%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |