Q. Europa League Play Offs Final
Global 2-1
CSKA Sofia vs Dinamo Moskva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
CSK
3 - 0
BER
66%
20%
14%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
LPL
0 - 5
CSK
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2009 |
DER
1 - 1
CSK
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2009 |
CSK
1 - 0
DER
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
CSK
2 - 1
LOK
66%
20%
14%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Dinamo Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
FCR
0 - 1
DIN
35%
27%
38%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
DIN
0 - 1
TER
58%
23%
18%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2009 |
DIN
0 - 2
CEL
42%
25%
33%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
KHI
0 - 2
DIN
30%
27%
43%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2009 |
CEL
0 - 1
DIN
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |