CSKA Sofia vs Cherno More Varna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
33.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
DUN
2 - 0
CSK
48%
25%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
CSK
2 - 0
LOK
69%
19%
13%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
OFK
1 - 1
CSK
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
CSK
5 - 1
NEF
75%
16%
9%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
VER
1 - 0
CSK
22%
26%
53%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
CVA
1 - 3
LUD
38%
28%
34%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
DUN
3 - 0
CVA
32%
27%
41%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | -2 |
| 19 Aug. 2016 |
CVA
2 - 0
LPL
39%
27%
33%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +2 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
LOK
2 - 2
CVA
22%
26%
52%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2016 |
CVA
1 - 0
MON
56%
26%
18%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +2 |