CSKA Sofia vs Cherno More Varna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
17.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2013 |
MON
1 - 3
CSK
16%
25%
59%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
CSK
1 - 0
BOT
59%
23%
18%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
LSO
2 - 1
CSK
54%
24%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
CSK
2 - 1
SSO
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
ETA
0 - 4
CSK
16%
26%
59%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2013 |
CVA
1 - 0
LOV
30%
28%
42%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2013 |
LSO
0 - 0
CVA
40%
28%
32%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
CVA
5 - 1
PIR
60%
24%
15%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
BER
1 - 0
CVA
43%
28%
29%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
CHB
3 - 3
CVA
56%
25%
20%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |