CSKA Sofia vs Cherno More Varna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
LSO
1 - 1
CSK
59%
22%
19%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
CSK
2 - 1
CHB
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
BOT
0 - 2
CSK
39%
27%
34%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
CSK
2 - 0
VIH
65%
21%
15%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
OFK
2 - 2
CSK
35%
29%
36%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
CVA
3 - 0
SLI
47%
27%
27%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
BEL
2 - 0
CVA
32%
28%
40%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
CVA
2 - 0
LOK
60%
25%
15%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2008 |
LOV
1 - 0
CVA
52%
25%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2008 |
STU
2 - 2
CVA
62%
22%
16%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |