CSKA Sofia vs Cherno More Varna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
16.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2006 |
ROD
1 - 0
CSK
26%
26%
48%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2006 |
CSK
3 - 2
LSO
62%
21%
18%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
CVA
0 - 0
CSK
39%
27%
35%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2006 |
CSK
4 - 1
CHE
82%
12%
6%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
BER
1 - 4
CSK
36%
27%
38%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2006 |
BER
0 - 4
CVA
42%
27%
31%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
CVA
0 - 0
CSK
39%
27%
35%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2006 |
PAN
1 - 2
CVA
23%
24%
53%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
OFK
0 - 1
CVA
39%
28%
33%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
CVA
1 - 0
NEF
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |