CSKA Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
35%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
8º
15º
9º
16
2º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
16 | 66 |
1º
|
72% | |
|
1º
|
19 | 58 |
2º
|
37.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
16 | 52 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 51 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 48 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 47 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 45 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 44 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
6 | 39 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 38 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 33 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 32 |
12º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 30 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 27 |
14º
|
18.5% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 26 |
15º
|
23% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 25 |
16º
|
29.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
4.5% | 55% |
|
Next round
|
27.5% | 37% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
68% | 8% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ARK
2 - 1
CSK
50%
26%
25%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
CSK
0 - 1
SSO
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SVA
3 - 0
CSK
37%
28%
35%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
CSK
3 - 1
HEB
68%
21%
12%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
LUD
1 - 0
CSK
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Botev Plovdiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BOT
0 - 1
SVA
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
HEB
0 - 1
BOT
20%
24%
56%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
ZRI
2 - 0
BOT
56%
22%
23%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
BOT
2 - 1
ZRI
39%
26%
36%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
FLK
0 - 1
BOT
35%
26%
40%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |