CSKA Sofia vs Beroe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
15.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
8º
14º
8º
30
4º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 76 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 58 |
2º
|
40% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 58 |
3º
|
30.5% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 57 |
4º
|
35% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 52 |
5º
|
48% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 46 |
6º
|
34% | |
|
|
7º
|
30 | 42 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
26 | 41 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 40 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 38 |
10º
|
30.5% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 32 |
11º
|
31% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 31 |
12º
|
29.5% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 31 |
13º
|
36.5% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 23 |
14º
|
32% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 22 |
15º
|
42% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 17 |
16º
|
77.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Next round
|
64% | 61.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
36% | 37% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
LSO
0 - 3
CSK
33%
29%
38%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
CSK
0 - 1
BOT
38%
27%
35%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ARK
2 - 1
CSK
50%
26%
25%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
CSK
0 - 1
SSO
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SVA
3 - 0
CSK
37%
28%
35%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Beroe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
BER
0 - 1
BOT
22%
26%
52%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
HEB
3 - 1
BER
35%
28%
38%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
BER
0 - 1
LUD
19%
25%
56%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
FLK
0 - 1
BER
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
BER
0 - 2
LPL
29%
27%
44%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |