CSKA Sofia vs Beroe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
15.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
8º
15º
9º
10
4º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
19 | 66 |
1º
|
79.5% | |
|
1º
|
19 | 58 |
2º
|
41.5% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 52 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 51 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 48 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 47 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 45 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 44 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
|
13º
|
6 | 39 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 38 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 32 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 32 |
12º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
10 | 30 |
13º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 27 |
14º
|
14% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 26 |
15º
|
19.5% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 25 |
16º
|
21.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
5% | 0.5% |
|
Next round
|
37.5% | 7% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
57.5% | 92.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
LSO
0 - 3
CSK
33%
29%
38%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
CSK
0 - 1
BOT
38%
27%
35%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ARK
2 - 1
CSK
50%
26%
25%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
CSK
0 - 1
SSO
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SVA
3 - 0
CSK
37%
28%
35%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Beroe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
BER
0 - 1
BOT
22%
26%
52%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
HEB
3 - 1
BER
35%
28%
38%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
BER
0 - 1
LUD
19%
25%
56%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
FLK
0 - 1
BER
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
BER
0 - 2
LPL
29%
27%
44%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |