Cup Winners Cup Last 16
Global 2-6
CSKA Sofia vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
32.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1993 |
CSK
3 - 1
SSO
81%
12%
6%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1993 |
CVA
0 - 3
CSK
26%
28%
46%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1993 |
SLB
3 - 1
CSK
72%
18%
10%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1993 |
CSK
4 - 1
CHB
79%
13%
8%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1993 |
LPL
0 - 0
CSK
40%
27%
33%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1993 |
SLB
4 - 1
SAL
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1993 |
PAÇ
1 - 2
SLB
20%
23%
58%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1993 |
SLB
3 - 1
CSK
72%
18%
10%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1993 |
SLB
2 - 0
SPB
80%
14%
6%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1993 |
FAM
1 - 5
SLB
18%
26%
56%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |