CSKA Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
23.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
7º
14º
7º
35
5º
13º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 76 |
1º
|
99% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 60 |
2º
|
44% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 58 |
3º
|
32.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 58 |
4º
|
30% | |
|
|
5º
|
35 | 50 |
5º
|
52% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 46 |
6º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
26 | 44 |
7º
|
32.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 42 |
8º
|
25.5% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 38 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 38 |
10º
|
21.5% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 32 |
11º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 31 |
12º
|
31.5% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 28 |
13º
|
27% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 23 |
14º
|
33.5% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 23 |
15º
|
34% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 17 |
16º
|
72.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
1% | 22.5% |
|
Next round
|
81.5% | 75.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
17.5% | 2% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
CSK
4 - 0
BEL
73%
18%
10%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2025 |
CSK
4 - 1
LIE
35%
24%
40%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
CSK
3 - 0
GAN
37%
26%
37%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
CSK
2 - 1
GYO
45%
24%
31%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
CSK
0 - 1
SHA
19%
23%
58%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Arda Kardzhali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2025 |
ARK
2 - 2
SVA
64%
21%
16%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
ARK
0 - 0
SLO
62%
20%
18%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2025 |
DMK
3 - 2
ARK
31%
28%
41%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
GKS
1 - 0
ARK
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2025 |
HRA
3 - 0
ARK
65%
21%
14%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |