Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 2-2
CSKA Moskva vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
41.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1981 |
CSK
2 - 1
STR
75%
14%
11%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1981 |
STR
1 - 0
CSK
43%
22%
35%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1971 |
SDL
2 - 0
CSK
74%
16%
10%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1971 |
CSK
1 - 0
SDL
40%
25%
35%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1971 |
CSK
3 - 0
GAL
59%
21%
19%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1991 |
ROM
0 - 0
GEN
72%
19%
9%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1991 |
CAG
0 - 1
ROM
18%
28%
54%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1991 |
ROM
0 - 1
INT
47%
26%
27%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1991 |
ASL
1 - 2
ROM
17%
25%
58%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1991 |
VER
0 - 1
ROM
22%
28%
50%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |