Champions League Eliminatorias Last 16
Global 2-5
CSKA Moskva vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.2%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
70.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2012 |
MUR
2 - 0
CSK
25%
25%
49%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2011 |
INT
1 - 2
CSK
67%
19%
15%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ANZ
2 - 1
CSK
28%
27%
45%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2011 |
CSK
0 - 2
LIL
41%
26%
33%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2011 |
CSK
1 - 2
FCR
53%
24%
23%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
RMA
4 - 0
RAC
94%
5%
2%
|
97 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
RMA
4 - 2
LEV
94%
5%
2%
|
97 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
GET
0 - 1
RMA
8%
17%
75%
|
97 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
RMA
3 - 1
ZAR
94%
5%
1%
|
97 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
FCB
2 - 2
RMA
60%
20%
20%
|
96 | 98 | 2 | +1 |