CSKA Moskva vs FC Orenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
19.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
3º
7º
5º
6
4º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
20 | 66 |
1º
|
54.5% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 61 |
2º
|
24% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 59 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 57 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
|
6º
|
13 | 54 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 53 |
6º
|
23% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 46 |
7º
|
28% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 39 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
|
13º
|
6 | 38 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 35 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 34 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 31 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 28 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 26 |
14º
|
23.5% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 22 |
15º
|
27% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 21 |
16º
|
36.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
1% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99% | 88.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 10% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
KRA
1 - 0
CSK
39%
25%
35%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
OLY
0 - 3
CSK
12%
22%
66%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
FCR
0 - 0
CSK
31%
25%
43%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
CSK
2 - 2
TER
68%
19%
13%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
CSK
3 - 0
PAR
47%
24%
29%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FC Orenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
KHI
1 - 0
GAZ
28%
23%
50%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
GAZ
0 - 0
TER
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
GAZ
2 - 0
SPA
35%
26%
38%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
GAZ
2 - 1
SUM
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
KEC
1 - 0
GAZ
33%
23%
44%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |