Qualif. Champions Segunda ronda Final
Global 2-0
CSKA Moskva vs Neftçi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.3%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.7%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.1%
6.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2004 |
FKN
0 - 0
CSK
30%
25%
46%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2004 |
CSK
1 - 0
FCR
69%
19%
12%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2004 |
TOR
0 - 1
CSK
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2004 |
CSK
3 - 0
PER
77%
16%
7%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2004 |
FCR
2 - 1
CSK
32%
26%
41%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2004 |
FKN
0 - 0
CSK
30%
25%
46%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2004 |
FKN
1 - 0
SIR
47%
22%
30%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2004 |
SIR
2 - 1
FKN
65%
19%
16%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2004 |
SAF
0 - 1
FKN
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
FKN
7 - 0
SUM
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |