Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 3-3
CSKA Moskva vs Ferencvárosi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
19.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1994 |
CSK
2 - 3
DIN
39%
29%
32%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1994 |
LAD
1 - 0
CSK
30%
27%
43%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1994 |
KRS
1 - 1
CSK
40%
28%
32%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 1994 |
CSK
1 - 1
SPA
32%
27%
41%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 1994 |
LOK
1 - 0
CSK
58%
22%
21%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ferencvárosi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1994 |
GYO
1 - 1
FTC
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1994 |
FTC
0 - 3
UJP
47%
27%
26%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1994 |
BEK
5 - 2
FTC
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 1994 |
FTC
4 - 1
BUD
66%
21%
13%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1994 |
ZTE
1 - 3
FTC
49%
26%
26%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |