CSKA Moskva vs Chernomorets Novorossisk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
7.5%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
CSK
1 - 1
SAT
64%
21%
15%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
CSK
3 - 0
KRS
67%
20%
13%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
FKM
2 - 1
CSK
16%
25%
59%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
CSK
3 - 0
ALA
79%
15%
7%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2003 |
VAR
1 - 1
CSK
29%
25%
46%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
CHE
1 - 2
FKM
64%
21%
15%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
ALA
1 - 0
CHE
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
FCR
0 - 2
CHE
55%
24%
22%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
CHE
0 - 1
SAT
36%
28%
36%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2003 |
LOK
1 - 0
CHE
71%
19%
10%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |