CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
23.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
64
4º
4º
4º
54
5º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
84 | 11 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
85 | 11 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
61 | 7 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
64 | 5 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
54 | 4 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 1 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA 1948 Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
CSK
1 - 1
CSK
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
CSK
2 - 2
LUD
47%
24%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
CSK
1 - 3
LUD
47%
23%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
CVA
1 - 1
CSK
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
CSK
2 - 2
LSO
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
LPL
2 - 1
CVA
46%
28%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
CSK
1 - 0
LPL
46%
27%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
LPL
0 - 3
LSO
45%
28%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2023 |
LUD
1 - 0
LPL
54%
24%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2023 |
LPL
1 - 0
LSO
46%
27%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |