Vargas Torres vs Independiente Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.3%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
42.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
4º
9º
7º
51
1º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vargas Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
AME
1 - 0
CSV
52%
26%
22%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
CSV
1 - 1
IMB
24%
26%
50%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 1
CSV
57%
25%
18%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
CSV
1 - 1
CUN
36%
30%
34%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
MAC
2 - 0
CSV
63%
23%
14%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
INJ
2 - 3
CHA
61%
24%
15%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
INJ
0 - 0
MAN
47%
28%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
AME
0 - 1
INJ
39%
28%
34%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
INJ
0 - 0
IMB
41%
26%
33%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 0
INJ
31%
28%
41%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |