Vargas Torres vs Imbabura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
50%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
4º
9º
7º
58
2º
10º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vargas Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 1
CSV
57%
25%
18%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
CSV
1 - 1
CUN
36%
30%
34%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
MAC
2 - 0
CSV
63%
23%
14%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
OCT
3 - 0
CSV
67%
21%
13%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
CSV
2 - 0
CHA
33%
30%
37%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Imbabura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
IMB
2 - 1
OCT
39%
27%
34%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
INJ
0 - 0
IMB
41%
26%
33%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
IMB
0 - 1
CHA
62%
23%
15%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
AME
1 - 2
IMB
35%
26%
39%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
IMB
2 - 1
MAN
45%
28%
28%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |