Vargas Torres vs Imbabura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
52.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
4º
9º
7º
58
2º
10º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vargas Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
INJ
2 - 1
CSV
63%
23%
14%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
CSV
0 - 0
MAC
20%
27%
53%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
AME
1 - 1
CSV
62%
24%
14%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2023 |
CSV
1 - 0
MAN
25%
29%
46%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
CSV
0 - 0
CUN
50%
25%
26%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Imbabura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2023 |
IMB
2 - 0
MAN
41%
28%
31%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 3
IMB
38%
27%
35%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
IMB
1 - 2
CHA
48%
27%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
INJ
1 - 0
IMB
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
CAL
2 - 0
IMB
37%
27%
36%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |