Vargas Torres vs Búhos ULVR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.4%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
40%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
4º
9º
7º
30
6º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vargas Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 0
CSV
57%
25%
17%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2023 |
CSV
2 - 0
OCT
22%
27%
52%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | +2 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
CSV
0 - 0
GUA
30%
29%
41%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 0
CSV
53%
26%
21%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2023 |
CSV
0 - 0
CUN
47%
27%
26%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Búhos ULVR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
OCT
1 - 1
GUA
62%
22%
15%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
GUA
3 - 1
AME
29%
28%
43%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +2 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
CSV
0 - 0
GUA
30%
29%
41%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2023 |
INJ
1 - 0
GUA
54%
25%
20%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 0
CHA
44%
29%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |