Vargas Torres vs Búhos ULVR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.4%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
40%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
4º
9º
7º
30
6º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vargas Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 0
CSV
57%
25%
17%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2023 |
CSV
2 - 0
OCT
22%
27%
52%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
CSV
0 - 0
GUA
30%
29%
41%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 0
CSV
53%
26%
21%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2023 |
CSV
0 - 0
CUN
47%
27%
26%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Búhos ULVR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
OCT
1 - 1
GUA
62%
22%
15%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
GUA
3 - 1
AME
29%
28%
43%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +2 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
CSV
0 - 0
GUA
30%
29%
41%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2023 |
INJ
1 - 0
GUA
54%
25%
20%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 0
CHA
44%
29%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |