Vargas Torres vs Vinotinto Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
15.5%
30.1%
Draw
0-0
14.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.1%
48.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
17.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.5%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
2º
9º
9º
69
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vargas Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2024 |
OCT
0 - 0
CSV
63%
23%
14%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
CSV
1 - 1
RIV
20%
31%
49%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2024 |
LFC
1 - 1
CSV
37%
29%
33%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 0
CSV
54%
27%
19%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
CSV
0 - 0
MAN
26%
31%
43%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Vinotinto Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
CUN
0 - 1
RIV
55%
22%
23%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 0
CUN
34%
26%
40%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
CUN
0 - 0
ESA
72%
19%
9%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 0
CUN
37%
26%
38%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
CUN
2 - 0
CHA
69%
20%
11%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | +1 |