Vargas Torres vs Vinotinto Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
25.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vargas Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
AVI
0 - 0
CSV
41%
25%
35%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
CSV
0 - 0
AVI
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CSV
2 - 0
GRE
21%
27%
52%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 2
CSV
65%
22%
13%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CSV
3 - 0
JUV
41%
25%
33%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Vinotinto Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
ESA
0 - 1
CUN
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
CUN
3 - 3
ESA
46%
24%
31%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
BBC
1 - 2
CUN
42%
25%
34%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
CUN
4 - 0
BBC
45%
24%
31%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
RBA
2 - 0
CUN
39%
25%
36%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |