Vargas Torres vs Chacaritas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.9%
30.1%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.1%
36.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
2º
9º
8º
25
1º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 67 |
1º
|
74% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 63 |
2º
|
65.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 57 |
3º
|
46% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 56 |
4º
|
37.5% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 52 |
5º
|
35% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 50 |
6º
|
52% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 41 |
7º
|
81.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
28 | 33 |
8º
|
41.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 33 |
9º
|
41% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 32 |
10º
|
51% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
51% | 21.5% |
|
Relegation
|
49% | 78.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vargas Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
INJ
1 - 1
CSV
58%
24%
18%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 1
CSV
45%
28%
28%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
CSV
0 - 1
AME
28%
28%
43%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
IMB
1 - 1
CSV
60%
23%
17%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
CSV
1 - 1
MAN
29%
30%
42%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Chacaritas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 1
RIV
35%
28%
38%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
AME
3 - 1
CHA
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 0
INJ
32%
28%
40%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
MAC
1 - 2
CHA
69%
21%
10%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
CHA
4 - 0
GUA
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |