Vargas Torres vs Leones analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
22.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
2º
8º
8º
29
3º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 64 |
1º
|
77.5% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 62 |
2º
|
51% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 59 |
3º
|
41% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 55 |
4º
|
50.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 50 |
5º
|
53.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 50 |
6º
|
60% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 43 |
7º
|
88% | |
|
|
9º
|
29 | 34 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
|
8º
|
29 | 33 |
9º
|
41.5% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 31 |
10º
|
55.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
58% | 28.5% |
|
Relegation
|
42% | 71.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vargas Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
CSV
1 - 1
CHA
34%
30%
36%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
INJ
1 - 1
CSV
58%
24%
18%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 1
CSV
45%
28%
28%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
CSV
0 - 1
AME
28%
28%
43%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
IMB
1 - 1
CSV
60%
23%
17%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Leones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
LFC
2 - 1
OCT
19%
26%
55%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
CUN
4 - 1
LFC
70%
19%
11%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
LFC
2 - 1
ESA
41%
25%
34%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
CFV
0 - 1
LFC
21%
23%
57%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
LFC
1 - 0
CFV
73%
17%
10%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |