Vargas Torres vs 9 de Octubre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.7%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
46.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.1%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
2º
9º
8º
41
4º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 67 |
1º
|
78% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 62 |
2º
|
59% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 58 |
3º
|
45% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 55 |
4º
|
38.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
41 | 52 |
5º
|
38.5% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 50 |
6º
|
57% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 41 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 34 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 33 |
9º
|
48.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 33 |
10º
|
56.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
47.5% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation
|
52.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vargas Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
RIV
3 - 0
CSV
61%
25%
15%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
CSV
0 - 0
LFC
47%
28%
25%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
CSV
0 - 1
GUA
31%
31%
38%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
ESA
0 - 0
CSV
36%
29%
36%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
CSV
1 - 1
INJ
26%
30%
44%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
9 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
INJ
2 - 1
OCT
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
OCT
4 - 1
CHA
64%
22%
14%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
LFC
0 - 0
OCT
26%
26%
48%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
OCT
0 - 0
GUA
52%
26%
23%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
PSC
1 - 1
OCT
5%
11%
84%
|
71 | 41 | 30 | +1 |